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Red Sea Shipping Disruption (Houthi Campaign)Houthi attacks, naval protection missions, rerouting, insurance shocks, and supply-chain stress around the Red Sea, Bab el-Mandeb, and Suez corridor.
Rule of Law & Democratic ConditionalityWhether EU values enforcement can survive Hungary, Poland-style disputes and still command legitimacy.
Rule of Law Monitoring in EuropeVenice Commission, GRECO, and pressure on backsliding democracies.
Strait of Hormuz Maritime RiskRecurring tanker seizures, military signaling, sanctions pressure, and escalation risk in a core global energy chokepoint.